Articles:
Tough task for America´s next president
01.06.07 Publication: Exame
We are in a post-ideological age. Unlike during the Cold War, there are no longer any easy labels to attach to ourselves, or with which to describe other people: left or right; socialist or capitalist; labouring class or ruling class; pro-Soviet or pro-American. Yet in recent years, one old label has returned to widespread use, and has become an easy source of popularity. It is the label of being anti-American.
All around the world, the quickest way to gain applause is to attack
Whoever that new president is who enters office in January 2009, whether it is Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or Al Gore on the Democrats’ side, or John McCain, Rudy Giuliani or some outsider on the Republican side, they will have one undoubted advantage: that they are not George Bush. They will enter office with many other leaders around the world breathing a sigh of relief that the Bush administration is over. That will be helpful but will not be enough. For the first year of the new president’s term could well be the most difficult first year that any new American president has faced since Abraham Lincoln took office in 1861 while the southern states were seceding and the American Civil War was breaking out. And meanwhile all over the globe, but especially in Africa and Latin America, influence will be continuing to flow towards
The first year will be hugely difficult because the new president will immediately face the task of withdrawing from
That difficulty is why it cannot in fact be certain that the new president will withdraw American troops from
So what can the new president hope to do? Their objective must be to get out of
The first is that the new president will surely try to create strengths, or successes, to neutralise the weakness or defeat that the desire to withdraw from
A second element could well be a renewed focus on pacifying and rebuilding Afghanistan, which would bring with it two big potential gains: fresh support from America’s traditional allies, such as France and Britain; and the chance to reinforce the pressure on Pakistan to quell the jihadists that now use that country as their base and to track down and arrest or kill Osama bin Laden. This would signal that the new president is not just dealing with Mr Bush’s legacy by ending the war in
There would be a further advantage from such a move: it would cement America’s ties with India, the country which, thanks to the 2006 civil nuclear deal with the United States, is one of the few in which anti-American feeling has not grown in recent years. That nuclear deal is facing problems thanks to domestic politics in both countries, and could collapse or be watered down during the coming months. There could be no better way for a new president to follow up Mr Bush’s generally successful diplomatic courtship of
A strategic partnership with
That is also why a new American president’s plan should include another element of Mr Bush’s own policy, but with added seriousness. In advance of the G8 summit of rich industrial countries in
Yet although Mr Bush handled his proposal badly, as usual, it is not a stupid idea. A new president should make clear that
To do so would be an acknowledgement of the way the world order has already changed: the big developing and middle-income countries need to become part of the main group discussing solutions for global economic problems. Perhaps the best proposal of all for a new American president to make would be that such a new group should replace the G8 altogether. It would give